這繼續是醫療界專家的分享,可對照昨日的分享一併閱讀,結論是:一月底前,估計死亡人數大約為五十萬至二百萬。
Just heard from a HK epidemiology expert that the effective reproductive number (Rt) of the current COVID-19 wave in mainland China is estimated to be between 10 and 17.
This means, on average, 1 infected individual will infect 10 to 17 people. This is super fast.
The epidemic doubles every 1 or 2 days in mainland China right now.
Given that there are now 200 million+ already infected in mainland China, the epidemic is likely to reach the majority of the population in a matter of 1 week.
My contact says that the estimated number of deaths may be around the range of 500,000 to 2 million.
Imagine this will happen from now to the end of January: this is a horrific number of deaths within 2 months.
▶️ 延伸視頻:中國疫情大爆發成人間煉獄,回顧梁燕城博士「動態清零乃真正的人文主義」、「生命比任何經濟利益更重要」奇文
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K22obkv2XTU