【會員獨家影片：Simon 會客室・國際前線 x 軍武器研 277 🇺🇦🇷🇺】 烏克蘭軍隊首次攻陷俄羅斯領土（上）：這是大奇蹟日嗎？
Added 2024-08-16 05:01:01 +0000 UTC當國際形勢對烏克蘭日漸不利，烏克蘭軍隊卻出人意表地成功組織了一次大反攻，歷史性地攻入俄羅斯聯邦內部的庫斯克州，這也創下二戰以來俄羅斯領土首次被攻陷的紀錄。究竟烏軍這次返工是強弩之末、迴光返照，還是邁向勝利的曙光？
Comments
Ukraine's manpower is severely constrained, not quite possible to launch large-scale offensive into Russian soil further
堅離地書院 College
2024-08-19 07:21:21 +0000 UTC歐洲國家入烏境防守, 烏軍推進, 不過可能性太低
YK Cheung
2024-08-16 23:15:57 +0000 UTCOne possible strategic impact is an attempt to shift the battlefields as much as possible onto Russian soil, relieving pressure on Ukraine’s defensive lines by scaling back Russia’s offensive operations. Crucially, Kyiv will need to thoroughly calculate how much more territory it intends to hold, how long to keep its conquered region and how many more troops it dares commit to the operation at its disposal in Kursk.
George
2024-08-16 14:17:51 +0000 UTCIt would be difficult to defend, unless using the Russian scorched earth strategy. Will be discussed in the next episode.
堅離地書院 College
2024-08-16 07:54:32 +0000 UTCIn determining how to approach the resolution of the war in Ukraine, two predominant ideas emerge: one suggesting that the West, particularly right-wing advocates in the US, should urge Ukraine to concede to Russia, while the other advocates for bolstering Ukraine's military efforts for victory. Both strategies acknowledge the necessity of altering circumstances to prompt either side to eventually consider peace terms currently deemed unacceptable. Despite these considerations, neither approach is poised to bring about an immediate end to the conflict. The stunning Ukrainian incursion with armor and infantry into Russian territory stands out as a potential game-changing event in this complex scenario. This bold move has struck a significant blow to Putin's strongman façade, severely dented Russian military morale, and presented the most formidable political challenge to Putin's regime since the Prigozhin rebellion. The success of this audacious military maneuver, catching the Kremlin off guard and highlighting substantial flaws in Russian military intelligence and defensive capabilities, could pivot into a crucial bargaining chip at the negotiation table. The potential transformation hinges on the interplay between both sides: Moscow's capacity to cut off the enemy’s supply line and to expel Ukrainian forces out of its territory using conventional or potentially nuclear tactics; and Kyiv’s ability to entrench and hold the seized territory, possibly advancing towards Moscow should Russian military strategies falter. This includes scenarios such as the failure at repositioning Russian troops from critical front lines in Ukraine to Kursk and a retreat of Russian defensive forces due to Ukraine's agile tactics, accurate military intelligence, and advanced weaponry, all while facing logistical disruptions caused by Ukraine’s all-round drone surveillance and targeted strikes. We’ll see whether Zelenskyy, with a make-or-break determination to fight fire with fire, can turn the tables on Putin with this surprise incursion and bring a whole new ballgame. The concern lies in whether Kyiv has sustainable resources from the west pouring into Kursk, especially given the expectation that the Kremlin will not back down easily. The event has so far unfolded in favor of Ukraine, showing the west that giving billions of dollars in military aid is fruitful. However, if an end to the war doesn’t come soon, patience may once again wane, forcing a reluctant return to square one. As the incursion may trigger nuclear confrontations, the stakes are even higher not only for both sides in the war but for the west and the entire world. With the limited manpower of Ukrainian forces, Zelenskyy must adopt put-out-fires strategy to yield rapid results in order to sustain the country’s vitality, safeguarding the lives of the younger generation and securing the continued military aid.
George
2024-08-16 05:24:53 +0000 UTC
