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The Long Investor

The Long Investor

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$MOS - WATCHLIST -

$MOS - WATCHLIST -

I highlighted this set up at the start of the week, showing a test of the channel breakout level, where the 50 WMA was waiting too, so far the price has broken above here but bulls just have one final step now, flipping the blue line to support next at $28.30.

I believe once this level can...

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$PLTR TOP 20

$PLTR TOP 20

A break now above the 50 Day MA is a good sign for our projection, I believe a hold above the 50 Day MA now at $90 will confirm the trend and a move to $100 - $105 for Wave B for me.

I have said before that many will believe that this can make a higher high next but I see no clear Wave B in...

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$SOFI - WATCHLIST -

$SOFI - WATCHLIST -

Nice price action forming under the 0.38 Fib at $13 now and we can see it is an ascending triangle formation which is typically a bullish indication, so we are watching for a break above this level next and this should clear the price action to move up to the 50 Day MA at $14.60 next.

Above...

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$NVDA

$NVDA

$NVDA is still below the trend line that we have been watching closely since the flush down to $103, the price is still above the 0.618 Fib at $117 but I believe many will not feel comfortable until the wedge trend line is converted back to support, so there is still a bit of work here to do.

...

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$ACHR

$ACHR

$ACHR has now made a higher high again and above the 50 MA on the hr chart, the price is just testing the 200 MA on the hr chart now at $8.50, a break above this level and we are moving up to the $9.73 blue line, which would then trigger the bull case, as this has been an important resistance/sup...

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$OSCR - TOP 10 -

$OSCR - TOP 10 -

Ok we are starting to see movement now, price negotiated on the $12.93 level all week on the 0.5 Fib and has now broken above the 50 MA on the 1hr chart at $13.05, we are also seeing this on the $HIMS chart too.

Staying above this level now and we could see a return to the wedge top line ne...

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$LULU - WATCHLIST -

$LULU - WATCHLIST -

$LULU is likely moving with $ONON and feeling the pressure from $NKE's earnings today but that being said, the price action is still holding in an important confluence level between the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib range, where the 200 Day MA is between $300 - $323.

A hold within this range would be a s...

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$COST

$COST

Wave 5 for us has hit just at the 3.618 Fib just above $1000, which is an extended Fib level for a Wave 5 so we are not surprised to see a pull back now.

There has been no changes to this chart but this is a former Top 20 chart so it is worth sharing again as many members likely still have ...

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$ONON

$ONON

$ONON is likely struggling today due to the markets reaction to $NKE's earnings.

The 0.5 Fib is showing cracks now at $43 and a move down to the standard 0.618 Fib at $39 could very easily be tested next here.

I believe this is an opportunity if support is held at $39, as $NKE's decli...

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$SE TOP 20

$SE TOP 20

I think $SE is under pressure here to hold the 50 Day MA and the channel trend support line at $123.

We already have this completing Wave 5 so it's not a surprise to see the important support line coming under pressure here

Those who hold a position here and have enjoyed the strong ru...

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$HIMS

$HIMS

$HIMS is showing a distinct curve as it searches to confirm its bottom now above the 0.618 Fib, this is a typical sign that sellers are starting to dry up as the price action reaches a standard support level.

I believe once the price action can consolidate nicely as shown along the bottom o...

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$CELH - WATCHLIST -

$CELH - WATCHLIST -

Market has opened red across the board with a small number of green spots, $CELH is one of those green spots which is therefore showing relative strength and we can see why from the chart

There is a bullish set up here and moving very nicely in an impulse wave, after Wave 2 held support for...

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$VSCO - WATCHLIST -

$VSCO - WATCHLIST -

$VSCO has bounced from $16 to $22 since the 11th of March, so now the first wave looks complete and the subwave 2 pull back is expected, this is the most important part of any new potential impulse structure: holding for a higher low.

So I have added in the green support lines and as always...

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$NIO TOP 20

$NIO TOP 20

Down in the PM now by -5% after a double miss from their earnings and their EPS missing estimates by -40%.

The price has come down to the 50 Day MA at $4.50 for a retest on the news too but crucially this still keeps the price action on the outside of the channel support line

A retest...

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$NKE TOP 10 & TOP 20

$NKE TOP 10 & TOP 20

$NKE have reported and I have shared their ER details in the Research Group, the headlines will show a strong beat on the EPS and revenue estimates

But we are not looking for miracles here, the share price is at a 5 year low because of declining sales and what we want to see now is a trend ...

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$AAL

$AAL

I continue to like the risk v reward set up here from $AAL, it has not been following the other legacy carriers in the US and has not run yet but in spite of their healthy fundamentals

I think $AAL falls into the group of positions I shared earlier in the TLI Chat only group of potential re...

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$OSCR - TOP 10 -

$OSCR - TOP 10 -

$OSCR is getting into the oversold territory on the RSI indicator while still maintaining its price at the 0.5 Fib at $12.93 and keeping within the dimensions of the descending wedge.

The 200 Day MA is starting to arc down too and will likely align with the wedge top line shortly, making th...

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US 10 YR

US 10 YR

Still at an important junction now as the market digests the FEDs decision yesterday to pause rate cuts.

A pause I believe was the right decision, the FED needs more of a trend to confirm that the economy is slowing down to contain inflation and with Trump continuing his tariff policies thi...

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$ASTS

$ASTS

Retesting the blue support line now which is at a strong confluence level, with the 50 Day MA and the 0.618 Fib support level.

Just slightly below is the 200 Day MA at $23 and is moving higher quickly.

Overshooting the $25 level is not an issue but going below the 200 Day MA would sho...

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$AMD TOP 20

$AMD TOP 20

$AMD has been responding well in the Buy Zone and buyers appear to be stepping in.

We are still in the middle of the Buy Zone so you are not late and certainly in a good position while we are still below the 200 WMA at $115.

If the bulls can flip the 200 WMA back to support at $115, I...

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$NIO TOP 20

$NIO TOP 20

$NIO is pulling back today along with $XPEV and other Chinese ADRs as they let off some steam

For $NIO this is just looking like a retest of the 200 Day MA from above at $4.71, ideally we want to see a hold on this level and this would confirm that this MA has been flipped to support once t...

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$COPX - SAFE HAVEN -

$COPX - SAFE HAVEN -

$COPX is a safe haven position we have been following for a number of years now and although it doesn't have the same strength as Silver and Gold right now, the chart still looks good and could be positioning itself for a strong move soon.

Price has managed to break back into the long ascen...

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$MBLY

$MBLY

$MBLY has not confirmed support yet and there is likely going to be another test of the 0.78 Fib at $13 next.

This is not a concern once $MBLY can find a higher low or at the very least a double bottom support on the blue line at $10.50, if this can happen then the impulse wave can remain i...

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$ARM

$ARM

$ARM has finally broken down from this triangle that I warned to stay clear of at the start of the year, I do not like their fundamentals or their management and I continue to struggle to see what value they offer.

A breakdown like this is typically met with a lower low and we can see that ...

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$CPNG

$CPNG

During my morning scan this chart has caught my attention again, I have spoken about this position before because of how many superinvestors like it and continue to add to their positions over the last few quarters.

There is some consolidation now along the blue support line at $21, which i...

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$EL

$EL

$EL is still in search of that support level that has not come since early 2021

Price action was getting some attention last month after it was revealed that Burry has started a position but there has been a rejection at the 0.78 Fib at $85 and the price has pulled back to $67 now.

A ...

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$AMZN TOP 20

$AMZN TOP 20

$AMZN is still holding on the blue support line at $189 which we can see has been an important resistance/support line since the 2021 highs.

If this level can continue to hold then a retest of the 200 Day MA is likely going to be next especially if the market can do the same

The RSI a...

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$HIMS

$HIMS

We wanted to see $HIMS respond positively after retesting the descending wedge breakout level on Tuesday and we got that positive reaction yesterday with a +7.5% day.

We can see that the bounce brought the price action back up to the 50 MA on the 1hr chart once again to finish the session.<...

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$BIDU

$BIDU

$BIDU has tested its channel breakout level and has so far found resistance, we are looking for a higher low next, we can see that there is a confluence level around $91, where the 50 and 200 Day MA is and the 0.618 Fib level.

The 50 and 200 Day MA's can make a golden cross over the next fe...

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$TGT - WATCHLIST -

$TGT - WATCHLIST -

A lot of positions we follow have been showing a strong hold of support and reversing over the last few sessions, like $VSCO, $SOFI, $ACHR and $BIDU etc.....$TGT is another stock I like a lot and I believe it has been beaten down and just like $VSCO, I think there is a reversal relief bounce at t...

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