The Long Investor

$AAPL TOP 20

The plan here has not changed for $AAPL and the commentary from last week remains the same for $AAPL.

Wave A was steep and did drop below the 200 WMA and came close to the larger 1929 STYLE Red 0.38 Fib support level before bouncing strong and has already climbed to the amber 0.5 Fib for ...

Earnings next week.

It will not be a quiet week

$TSLA

$ASML

$GOOG

$BA

NESN

To name a few, I will prioritise as many of these charts as possible this week.

TWEET: $AMZN 5 YEAR PROJECTION

$AMZN 5 YEAR PROJECTION.

The Tariff War could go to a level where people will doubt themselves buying $AMZN<...

$SOLUSD

$SOL has not quite pulled back as low as $ETH and it is still above its 200 WMA and 0.618 Fib but it has been a strong pull back over a short period of time

Dropping from $294 to $94 since the middle of Jan.
Holding above the 200 WMA and the 0.618 Fib is a good sign that the pull back is...

$IWM

Small Caps performance lately is a perfect example of how the Tariff War is effecting Small Business.

Tariffs are a tax and can eat into the margins of smaller companies who may not have the fat to absorb any sudden changes to their bottom lines.

$IWM also dropped down to $171 at the ...

$SIRI

Earnings are due out before the market opens on the 1st of May, price is moving down this very tight wedge now towards this date too.

We have got to assume that any concerns for their report is getting factored in now.

A test of the 0.78 Fib at $18 is looking very possible for a test ...

$META

$META's bounce since the 0.38 Fib at $490 on the 7th of April jumped all the way up to the 200 Day MA at $580 and has rejected heavily at this MA and has pulled back aggressively.

A lower low has not been made yet but a retest of the 0.38 Fib at $490 is possible next and with the weakness s...

$BTI - SAFE HAVEN -

If you showed this chart to your dog, they'd tell you where this was going next without taking a second thought to think about it.

Our Wave Y target has not changed since late 2023 and has been a great gainer for many members

On top of this, the Dividend remains high and is at +7% now...

$XYZ

Price has been holding in the buy zone since the flush down at the end of March and the start of April.

We can see that the price bounced from the final 0.887 Fib and is back above the 0.78 Fib already.

Our WXY count has not changed and I believe the low risk entry will be adding $XYZ...

$ACHR - WATCHLIST -

$ACHR is flirting with a break out here at $7.45 and we can see an ascending triangle has formed here too under $7.45.

A breakout, followed by a retest of this level over the next few sessions and holding and we have strong reversal signal.

I have a position and I am holding and like ...

$HIMS

$HIMS has opened and holding still above the blue support line at $25.40 and the 200 Day MA, people that know $HIMS will know that they are more than just a GLP company and their revenue has been projected to include only personal doses.

We believe in the company and the management who cont...

$ASTS

Still holding support above the 50 WMA, the 0.5 Fib and the descending wedge top line, so it continues to hold but as long as the price is below the blue resistance/support line, which is also the 200 Day MA, there is still a concern here that the price can drop lower to the 0.618 Fib again at $1...

$LLY

Up +11% in the PM now and $NVO and $HIMS are down -7% each.

That being said, I believe $LLY is still in its corrective wave and a retest of the 50 WMA or the top trend line at $900 could offer some resistance here and the price could reject and confirm Wave C next.

The pull back since...

$DJI

I shared this chart at the start of the year to show that $DJI had reached its Wave 5 in its Supermellenium Target at $42.k.....which originated back in 1929 believe it or not and showed that a pull back to the 200 WMA was a clear possibility and this has happened over the last few weeks.

T...

$OSCR TOP 10

Understood?

$ONON

I know a lot of members are watching this chart and I am too.

We have the initial bounce now since $34 and we are getting our pull back now.

I am watching for a test and hold of support on the 0.618 Fib at $39 for a potential higher low that can allow this to move higher and route bac...

$HTZ

It has been revealed that Bill Ackman has started a sizeable position in $HTZ and the share price has jumped +56% yesterday and up another +25% in the PM today.

It my last update of this chart I showed that a break above the 50 WMA and there is a route back to the 200 WMA at $13.....Bill cl...

$NVO

A lot of members will be watching $HIMS PM right now and it is a chart that will be uploaded after the market opens, so we can see how the price action behaves.

But $NVO is also down -6.5% in the PM now, wiping $15 Billion from its Market Cap and the price action is losing the 0.65 Fib at $...

US 10 YR

So what's happening with the 10 YR?

A very clear observation (and this is what we would expect from any position), once there is a breakout of an important level, we always look for a retest of this level.

It is no different here too.

The 200 Day MA is aligning perfectly with th...

$SPY TOP 20

I am going to be honest, the bounce since $481 is looking terrible here, it does not look impulsive by any means and failing to make a higher high this week after the $NVDA announcement yesterday has put a lot of pressure on the structure.

I wrote a long commentary on this yesterday, so if ...

$BABA TOP 10 & TOP 20

$BABA is up nearly +4% now in the PM after a positive day in the market on the HSI.

$BABA has also been performing relatively well since the flush down at the end of March and my assessment is that the market feels that China is in a position to handle the tariffs imposed by the Trump Admin...

$CLSK

$CLSK has held up relatively well over the last month, price is still battling at the blue support/resistance line at $7.50 and holding above the 0.78 Fib at $6.63.

We know this ABC correction began in March '24, so it is likely looking to complete its correction instead of starting one. 2025-04-16 20:37:31 +0000 UTC View Post

GOLD - SAFE HAVEN -

No changes to the Gold chart but it is telling a very clear story right now.

Gold going parabolic is rare and it is a warning.

Smart money and/or countries are likely buying Gold and Silver right now and the price is shooting up to the Second Target at $3800.

This will be a 100%...

$NKE TOP 10 & TOP 20

Price has not shown the start of a new impulse wave just yet and still holding above the psychological level of $50 right now.

Next add for me will be if we get a test of the $46 level on the 0.78 Fib

My strategy now is to DCA into $NKE and manage my average under $60.

I will ex...

$HIMS

I saw some wild predictions in the chat group earlier for $HIMS, I am not sure where this magic number of $22 came from but $22 is not a support or resistance, a moving average or a Fib support level.

All we saw today was another retest of the 200 Day MA once again and holding.
The chann...

$AMZN TOP 20

$AMZN too is pulling back, so I have added in the green higher low support levels and I think many would be happy to add $AMZN again if there is a hold at $173 on the 0.618 Fib.

$AMZN is also not immune from the Death Cross appearing on a lot of charts over the last 10 days and we can see t...

$TEM

$TEM is retesting the blue resistance/support line this week, after pulling back to the 0.887 Fib and the yellow support line that has been in place since just after the IPO in July.

Converting the blue support line at $44 back to support will be a good signal that this can reverse again an...

$DELL

$DELLs commentary is similar to that of $NVDA, $AMD and $ASML that I uploaded today, so I have added in the green support levels here too and we'll be looking for a higher low here as well.

The downside risk here if the higher low is not held will be a lower low to the blue line at $61 or t...

$OXY

I really like the pull back to this level so far down to the 0.618 Fib, kissing this level and bouncing so far.

The price is substantially below the Buffett Buy Zone between $55-$60, so we can assume that in terms of fundamentals at least, the price can return comfortably to this level when...

$ASML - TOP 10 -

Difficult day for any Semi Company to report their earnings today, the news that Trump has imposed a sanction on $NVDA has sent a ripple through the sector, possibly that there might be more imposed on other companies.

$ASML reported a solid earnings but there was a clear overhang that tari...